Seeking Alphaยท2025-06-18 06:13Core Insights - The article provides a detailed analysis comparing Golub Capital BDC Inc. (GBDC) with 11 of its business development company (BDC) peers, focusing on dividend sustainability and financial metrics [1][2][3] Group 1: Dividend Analysis - GBDC declared a base dividend of $0.39 per share for Q1 2025, with a TTM dividend yield of 12.30% and an annual forward yield of 10.32% based on its stock price as of March 21, 2025 [10][31] - For Q2 2025, GBDC maintained the same base dividend of $0.39 per share, resulting in a TTM dividend yield of 11.91% and an annual forward yield of 10.62% as of June 13, 2025 [28][29][31] - GBDC's management has indicated a high probability (70%) of maintaining the base dividend through Q4 2025, with no special periodic dividends expected for Q3 and Q4 2025 [33] Group 2: Financial Metrics Comparison - GBDC's cumulative undistributable taxable income (UTI) coverage ratio was 0.09 as of March 31, 2025, reflecting a decrease over the trailing twelve months [16][17] - The weighted average annualized yield on GBDC's debt investments was 10.50% as of December 31, 2024, which is below the mean of 11.60% among its peers [20][24] - GBDC's weighted average interest rate on outstanding borrowings was 5.37% as of March 31, 2025, showing an increase due to the merger with GBDC 3, which had a higher cost of capital [24][25] Group 3: Market Position and Recommendations - GBDC's stock price was $14.69 as of June 13, 2025, and the company is currently rated as HOLD, with a price target of approximately $15.95 per share [36][37] - The analysis indicates that GBDC's annual forward yield to its projected NAV was 10.51%, which is near the average of its 12 BDC peers [32][31] - The article emphasizes that GBDC has not decreased its base dividend since Q2 2020, highlighting a consistent dividend policy despite market fluctuations [18][19]