Di Yi Cai Jing·2025-06-18 06:24Core Viewpoint - The surge in the Hong Kong stock market for trendy toy companies reflects a significant transformation in the Chinese consumer market, with companies like Pop Mart and Blokus achieving remarkable stock price increases and market capitalizations [1][2]. Group 1: IP Economy - The success of IP products in the consumer recovery is attributed to their ability to create "emotional social connections," exemplified by Pop Mart's LABUBU series, which has transformed toys into expressions of individuality for Generation Z [1][2]. - Pop Mart's IP operations have created a unique "nuclear fusion effect," with its Molly series generating related products and even operating a theme park independently of any film IP support [2]. Group 2: Guzi Economy - The rapid rise of trendy toy stocks is driven by the "Guzi economy," which encompasses the peripheral consumer market surrounding anime and game IPs, becoming a growth engine for toy companies [3]. - Collaborations, such as Miniso's partnership with "Jujutsu Kaisen," have led to significant sales, while Blokus has increased its overseas revenue share by tying up with international IPs [3]. - The shift in consumer demographics, particularly among the 18-35 age group, is driving a surge in "self-indulgent consumption," with the market expected to grow significantly by 2024 [3][4]. Group 3: Industry Opportunities and Challenges - The trendy toy market in China is still in its early development stage, with considerable room for growth compared to mature markets like Japan and the U.S. [5]. - Companies are exploring diversified revenue models beyond traditional retail, including online live streaming and NFT initiatives, which could enhance user engagement and create new growth points [5][6]. - Despite the optimistic outlook, the rapid expansion of the industry poses risks, such as the influx of new companies and potential regulatory challenges [5]. Group 4: Cultural Consumption Trends - The journey of Pop Mart symbolizes the shift in the Chinese consumer market from material satisfaction to spiritual consumption, with trendy toys becoming cultural symbols for a generation [7]. - Companies that can consistently create emotional resonance and build IP ecosystems are likely to thrive in the golden age of the trendy toy economy [7].