智通财经网·2025-06-18 07:45Core Viewpoint - The insurance industry is rated as "outperforming the market" by Guolian Minsheng Securities, with expectations for positive trends in both the liability and asset sides, leading to improved investment returns and valuation recovery for insurance companies [1] Group 1: Stock and Performance Analysis - From January 2, 2025, to May 30, 2025, the insurance index increased by 0.1%, while the CSI 300 index decreased by 2.4%, indicating that the insurance index slightly outperformed the broader market [1] - Individual stock performance varied significantly, with China Pacific Insurance, China Life Insurance, New China Life Insurance, China Ping An, China Taiping, and China People’s Insurance showing price changes of +21.9%, +9.5%, +1.2%, +1.2%, +1.0%, and -8.7% respectively [1] - In Q1 2025, listed insurance companies showed strong performance on the liability side, with positive growth in life insurance NBV and improved COR for property insurance, although net profit and net asset performance on the asset side varied due to differences in investment strategies and asset classifications [1] Group 2: Life Insurance Sector Insights - The focus on the life insurance sector is primarily on NBV performance and interest spread risk, with short-term demand for insurance products slowing, leading to growth pressure on new single premiums [2] - However, measures such as the implementation of "reporting and pricing integration" in individual channels, potential further reductions in product preset interest rates, and active adjustments in product structures are expected to support a positive growth trend in NBV [2] - The liability cost is anticipated to improve significantly as the industry shifts towards dividend insurance products and adjusts preset interest rates in line with market rates [2] Group 3: Property Insurance Sector Insights - The low interest rate environment has prompted regulators to guide property insurance companies to enhance underwriting profitability, leading to noticeable improvements in COR [3] - The implementation of "reporting and pricing integration" in auto insurance is expected to extend to non-auto insurance, further improving COR in the property insurance sector [3] - The increasing share of new energy vehicle insurance is seen as a key area for future reforms, with expectations for reduced claims ratios and improved COR as policies are implemented [3] Group 4: Asset and Liability Management - The importance of matching assets and liabilities has increased due to the downward trend in long-term interest rates and the implementation of new standards, leading to greater volatility in insurance company profit statements [4] - To stabilize net profit and net assets, insurance companies are expected to increase allocations to bonds and high-dividend stocks [4] - Increasing the proportion of bonds will help extend asset duration and reduce the duration gap between assets and liabilities, while high-dividend stocks will enhance investment returns and mitigate the impact of declining investment yields [4]