俄罗斯联邦储蓄银行第一副首席执行官:预计2025年国内生产总值(GDP)将增长1%至2%。俄罗斯卢布被高估,合理的汇率预计在每美元90至95之间。预计到今年年底基准利率有很大可能从目前的20%下降至17%。俄罗斯经济增长复苏需要关键利率保持在12%至14%之间。
news flash·2025-06-18 08:06
Core Viewpoint - The Russian economy is expected to see a GDP growth of 1% to 2% by 2025, indicating a gradual recovery [1] Economic Forecast - The Russian ruble is considered overvalued, with a reasonable exchange rate projected to be between 90 to 95 rubles per dollar [1] - There is a significant likelihood that the benchmark interest rate will decrease from the current 20% to 17% by the end of this year [1] - For a sustainable economic recovery, key interest rates need to be maintained between 12% and 14% [1]