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惠誉:美国的财政前景仍然充满挑战
news flash·2025-06-18 18:44

Core Viewpoint - Fitch Ratings indicates that the fiscal outlook for the United States remains challenging without significant spending reforms [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Fiscal Deficit Projections - According to Fitch's baseline forecast, the general government fiscal deficit as a percentage of GDP is expected to decrease from nearly 8% in 2024 to 7.1% in 2025 [1] - However, by 2026, the total government deficit is projected to rise to 7.6% of GDP [1] Policy Expectations - Fitch anticipates that fiscal deficits will remain elevated in the coming years, as no significant additional fiscal policy changes are expected during the remainder of the Trump administration [1] - The agency emphasizes that meaningful mandatory benefit reforms are crucial for enhancing the sustainability of public finances in the medium term [1] Social Security and Medicare Costs - The Congressional Budget Office projects that rising costs associated with Social Security and Medicare will contribute to a 2% increase in the deficit over the next decade [1]