Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Nanshan Aluminum International (02610) is expected to experience significant growth due to its capacity expansion, leading to an initial coverage rating of outperforming the industry with a target price of HKD 33.19, based on a P/E valuation method corresponding to a 2026 P/E of 5.5x [1] - The company is a leading alumina producer in Southeast Asia, with a current production capacity of 2 million tons per year and plans to build a second project with the same capacity, expected to be operational in 2025 and 2026 [2] - The company benefits from three main advantages: cost advantage due to short transportation routes for bauxite and coal, regional advantage from tax incentives in the Karang Batang Economic Zone, and shareholder advantage from strong industry positions of its major shareholders [3] Group 2 - Indonesia is poised to become a global hub for the aluminum industry, with the company likely to benefit from the transfer of aluminum production capacity to Indonesia due to China's policies and Indonesia's rich resources [4] - The market's focus is primarily on alumina prices and production capacity, while the report emphasizes that the company's growth and stability from upstream and downstream expansion may lead to valuation premiums [5]
中金:首予南山铝业国际(02610)跑赢行业评级 目标价33.19港元