整理：每日全球外汇市场要闻速递（6月19日）

Group 1: US Monetary Policy - Macquarie now expects the Federal Reserve to implement a 25 basis point rate cut in 2025, followed by another 25 basis point cut in 2026, revising previous predictions of a 50 basis point cut in 2026 [1] - The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates for the fourth consecutive time in June, with the dot plot indicating two rate cuts this year, although the number of officials expecting no cuts this year has risen to seven [1] - Powell emphasized uncertainty in the current economic situation, suggesting a wait-and-see approach, and anticipates inflation driven by tariffs to rise in the coming months [1] Group 2: Global Economic Measures - Thailand's Finance Minister plans to propose a 110 billion Thai Baht project to boost the economy next week [2] - The Governor of the State Bank of Vietnam indicated a potential adjustment of the credit growth target to 16% to promote economic growth if necessary [2] - Brazil's central bank unexpectedly raised rates by 25 basis points to 15%, while the market had anticipated a hold at 14.75%, with expectations that the tightening cycle will end [2] Group 3: European and Asian Monetary Policies - ECB Governing Council member Panetta stated that the European Central Bank will continue to make decisions based on each meeting's circumstances without committing to a clear monetary policy path in advance [2] - South Korea's Ministry of Finance proposed a supplementary government budget plan totaling 30.5 trillion Korean Won, including 20.2 trillion Won in spending and 10.3 trillion Won in tax revenue revisions [2] - The Swedish central bank revised its policy rate forecast for Q3 2025 to an average of 1.99%, down from 2.25%, and for Q4 2025 to 1.92%, also down from 2.25%, indicating the possibility of another rate cut this year [2] Group 4: Russian Economic Outlook - The first deputy CEO of Sberbank expects Russia's GDP to grow by 1% to 2% in 2025, stating that the Ruble is overvalued with a reasonable exchange rate expected between 90 to 95 Rubles per dollar [3] - There is a significant possibility that the benchmark interest rate in Russia will decrease from the current 20% to 17% by the end of this year [3] - For economic recovery, it is suggested that the key interest rate should remain between 12% and 14% [3]