15个月亏损近800亿，光伏主产业链寻找出路

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is currently facing significant losses, with a projected net loss of approximately 787 billion yuan for A-share and Hong Kong-listed companies in the upstream supply chain for 2024 and the first quarter of 2025, indicating a challenging period ahead for the sector [1][2]. Industry Overview - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a downturn, with major companies like Trina Solar's chairman highlighting the severe losses expected in the coming quarters [1]. - The surge in new installations in early 2024, driven by policy incentives, has not alleviated the supply-side pressures, leading to a rapid decline in component prices from 0.75 yuan/W to 0.65 yuan/W [1][2]. Market Dynamics - The transition to a fully market-oriented approach for renewable energy projects starting June 1 has created uncertainty in investment returns, resulting in decreased demand for photovoltaic projects [2]. - The SNEC exhibition revealed a decline in serious business discussions, with a notable increase in foreign attendees, indicating a shift towards international markets [2]. Supply Chain Adjustments - The upstream sector is contemplating consolidation efforts, with major players like GCL Group advocating for industry-wide cooperation to navigate the current challenges [4]. - There are ongoing discussions about mergers and acquisitions among leading silicon material companies to streamline production capacities and improve financial stability [5][6]. Technological Advancements - The downstream sector is focusing on technological upgrades, with companies like LONGi Green Energy and JA Solar investing in new product lines and efficiency improvements [7][9]. - The introduction of new technologies such as the HIBC and BC products is expected to enhance performance and market competitiveness, with LONGi's new products achieving significant efficiency milestones [9][10]. Future Outlook - Industry leaders anticipate a difficult third quarter but expect conditions to improve in the fourth quarter due to increased centralized installations [3]. - The long-term outlook suggests that clean energy will become a dominant power source, driven by ongoing technological advancements and market adaptations [2][3].