智通财经网·2025-06-19 08:56Core Viewpoint - The report from Guotai Junan indicates that the domestic heavy truck sales in May reached 89,000 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 13.6% and a month-on-month increase of 1.3%, driven by the trade-in policy, which is expected to enhance the profitability of heavy truck chain enterprises [1] Group 1: Heavy Truck Sales Performance - In May 2025, the wholesale sales of domestic heavy trucks reached 89,000 units, with a year-on-year increase of 13.6% and a month-on-month increase of 1.3% [1] - Cumulative sales from January to May 2025 amounted to 441,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.9%, exceeding industry expectations [1] - The implementation of the trade-in policy is beginning to show effects, with over half of the provinces and regions completing the policy rollout [2] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The heavy truck industry is entering a phase of inventory management, and the trade-in policy is expected to significantly boost domestic sales [1] - The forecast for heavy truck sales in 2025 is 1.06 million units, representing a year-on-year increase of 16% [1] - The growth potential in the heavy truck sector is evident in the recovery of domestic market conditions and continued growth in exports [1] Group 3: Segment Performance - In May 2025, the sales of new energy heavy trucks reached 15,100 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 190%, despite a month-on-month decrease of 5% [2] - The sales of natural gas heavy trucks fell below 15,000 units, marking a new low in four months, with a penetration rate dropping from approximately 25% in April to below 23% [2] - The strong performance of new energy heavy trucks is attributed to declining product costs and a more robust trade-in policy [2] Group 4: Market Share and Competition - The market share in May 2025 for major players was as follows: China National Heavy Duty Truck Group (27.7%), Shaanxi Automobile Group (17.4%), Dongfeng Motor Corporation (16.7%), FAW Jiefang (15.5%), and Foton Motor (13.2%), with a combined CR5 of approximately 90.5% [3] - The initial rise of new energy heavy trucks has benefited some second and third-tier manufacturers, but as penetration increases, buyers are focusing more on quality and maintenance, leading to a resurgence of advantages for leading companies [3]