今年1380亿国补剩余额度待下达，7月或是一个节点|财税益侃

Group 1 - The total scale of central government subsidies for this year is 300 billion yuan, funded through the issuance of ultra-long-term special bonds [1][7] - As of May 31, 2025, the five major categories of consumer goods for the old-for-new policy have driven sales of 1.1 trillion yuan, with approximately 175 million subsidies issued directly to consumers [4] - The old-for-new policy has significantly boosted sales in various sectors, with retail sales of home appliances and audio-visual equipment, communication equipment, cultural and office supplies, and furniture increasing by 53%, 33%, 30.5%, and 25.6% respectively in May [4] Group 2 - The increase in consumer spending in May was attributed to factors such as the "May Day" and "Dragon Boat Festival" holidays, early promotions for the "6.18" shopping festival, and the expansion of the old-for-new policy to include digital products [2][3] - Some regions, such as Guangxi and Xinjiang, have had to suspend local old-for-new subsidy policies due to rapid depletion of allocated funds [7] - Experts suggest that while the old-for-new policy has been effective, its marginal utility may be decreasing as durable goods like home appliances and cars are affected, indicating a need for potential expansion of the subsidy scope [8]