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Dutch Bros vs. Wingstop: Which Stock Has Stronger Growth Plan?
ZACKSยท2025-06-19 14:56

Core Insights - Dutch Bros Inc. and Wingstop Inc. are rapidly expanding in the quick-service restaurant industry with distinct growth strategies [1][2] - Both companies are enhancing their market presence while facing challenges such as inflation and cautious consumer spending [3] Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) - Dutch Bros is focused on disciplined expansion, aiming to reach 2,029 shops by 2029, supported by a total addressable market of 7,000 shops [5] - In Q1 2025, total revenues increased by 29% year-over-year to $355.2 million, driven by shop openings and improved productivity [6] - The company opened 30 shops in the quarter and plans to accelerate openings, targeting at least 160 system shop openings in 2025 [7] - Initiatives like order-ahead and loyalty programs are being implemented to enhance same-shop sales performance and customer convenience [8] Wingstop Inc. (WING) - Wingstop's system-wide sales rose by 15.7% to $1.3 billion in Q1 2025, marking the highest quarterly sales in the company's history [9] - The company opened a record 126 net new restaurants in the quarter and raised its 2025 unit growth guidance to 16-17%, indicating 410-435 net new openings [11] - International expansion is a key growth driver, with new markets like Kuwait and Australia showing strong demand [12] - Wingstop is utilizing AI-powered solutions to improve order consistency and enhance guest experience [13] Financial Performance & Valuations - Dutch Bros' stock has gained 5.3% over the past three months, while Wingstop's shares have surged by 63.2% [15] - Dutch Bros is trading below Wingstop on a forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio [16] - EPS estimates for Wingstop have trended upward, while those for Dutch Bros remain unchanged, with BROS projected to improve by 24.5% and WING by 6.6% in 2025 [20] Conclusion - Wingstop is better positioned for growth due to its faster global expansion, strong brand partner confidence, and ability to open higher-performing restaurants [24] - Dutch Bros is building a steady growth story with a focus on customer experience and operational improvements, but Wingstop's superior performance and growth momentum provide it with a competitive edge [25]