国际金价承压下跌，对未来走势机构观点分化

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve decided to maintain the benchmark interest rate unchanged while raising inflation expectations and lowering GDP growth forecasts, leading to a rebound in the US dollar index and a 0.6% decline in international gold prices [1] - Following a surge to $3450 per ounce, gold prices experienced a pullback due to geopolitical tensions, with forecasts from Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley predicting a bullish outlook for gold, expecting prices to reach $3600 by the end of 2026 [1] - Conversely, Citigroup anticipates a bearish trend for gold, projecting prices to peak between $3100 and $3500 in Q3 of this year before declining to a range of $2500 to $2700 by the second half of 2026 [1] Group 2 - Analysts suggest that the recent price surges in gold and oil are reflective of market pricing in geopolitical risks, but such price increases are often not sustainable over the long term [2] - The strong US dollar is limiting the upward potential for gold prices despite heightened demand for safe-haven assets due to geopolitical conflicts [2] - The active gold recycling market indicates that many holders are taking advantage of high prices to realize gains or adjust their asset allocations, with business volume reportedly increasing by over 200% [2]