时令水果大量上市冲击 短期苹果震荡思路对待

Group 1 - The domestic futures market for agricultural products saw a comprehensive rise, with apple futures showing a strong performance, reaching a high of 7786.00 yuan/ton and a gain of 1.88% [1] - Current market focus for apples includes the transition from the old season's inventory and expectations for the new season's production, with low inventory supporting stable prices despite competition from other fruits [1] - Drought conditions in Shaanxi during the fruit-setting period have raised concerns about reduced production, providing some market support, although the overall impact is expected to be lower than initially anticipated [1] Group 2 - Cold storage inventory is low, and downstream demand has decreased, leading to a stalemate in supply and demand; the new season's apple is in the initial bagging stage, with results pending verification [2] - The market is currently facing pressure from seasonal fruits, resulting in general apple consumption; however, the main production area has low inventory levels, limiting selling pressure [2] - As the market enters a seasonal off-peak period without favorable production conditions, apple prices are expected to fluctuate around 7500 yuan/ton [2]