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国资介入,东方时尚有机会翻身吗?

Core Viewpoint - Oriental Fashion (ST Dongshi), known as the "first driving school stock," is at a critical juncture due to the violation of fund occupation by its controlling shareholder and the failure to recover 387 million yuan in occupied funds by the deadline, leading to a suspension of trading and a potential delisting risk if not resolved within two months [1][3]. Group 1: Current Situation and Challenges - The two-month suspension period starting June 20 is crucial for Oriental Fashion, as it works on recovering occupied funds, which may take longer due to ongoing legal proceedings and the need for a long-term mechanism to prevent future fund occupation [3][4]. - Major shareholders, including state-owned enterprises, are deeply trapped financially, with significant losses since their investment, indicating a strong incentive for them to assist in the company's recovery [4][5]. - The involvement of state-owned shareholders, such as Daxing State-owned Assets, is seen as a potential lifeline for Oriental Fashion, as they have previously intervened to prevent delisting and have a history of aiding companies in distress [5][6]. Group 2: Value Proposition and Future Potential - Oriental Fashion has significant value due to its position as the largest driving training institution globally, with an annual training capacity of 200,000 people and a focus on innovative training methods combining VR and AI [9][10]. - The driving training industry has a cash flow advantage due to its prepayment model, which aligns revenue with service delivery, minimizing accounts receivable issues [10]. - Despite recent losses, Oriental Fashion had a net profit margin exceeding 20% before 2021, and restructuring could eliminate risks associated with previous management's misconduct [11][14]. - The company has opportunities for growth through a light-asset expansion model and potential involvement in the low-altitude economy, leveraging its existing training infrastructure and assets [12][13].