Buy or Sell FDX Stock Ahead of Its Upcoming Earnings?

Group 1 - FedEx is scheduled to release its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings on June 24, 2025, with analysts expecting earnings of $5.86 per share and sales of $21.8 billion, an increase from $5.41 per share and $22.1 billion in the same quarter last year [3][4] - The company currently has a market capitalization of $54 billion and reported $88 billion in revenue over the past twelve months, with operating profits of $6.0 billion and a net income of $3.9 billion [4] - Historically, FedEx's stock has shown varied reactions to earnings announcements, with positive one-day returns occurring in 50% of instances, yielding a median increase of 6.6%, while negative returns also occurred in 50% of cases, with a median decrease of 4.8% [2][8] Group 2 - There are 20 earnings data points logged over the past five years, with an equal split of 10 positive and 10 negative one-day returns, maintaining a consistent 50% probability of positive returns over the last three years [8] - The correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings can be utilized for trading strategies, particularly if a strong correlation exists between 1D and 5D returns [9][10]