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Can BrightSpring's Q1 Strength Carry Through 2025 Headwinds?

Core Insights - BrightSpring Health Services (BTSG) reported strong financial results for Q1 2025, with total revenues increasing by 26% year over year to $2.9 billion and adjusted EBITDA rising by 28% to $131 million, despite facing operational and macroeconomic challenges [3][8] - The company raised its full-year guidance, expecting total revenues between $12 billion and $12.5 billion, which represents a year-over-year growth of 19.1% to 24.1%, and adjusted EBITDA guidance increased to $570 million to $585 million, marking a growth of 23.9% to 27.2% [4][8] Financial Performance - Total revenues for Q1 2025 were $2.9 billion, with Pharmacy Solutions and Provider Services segments growing by 28% and 12% respectively [3][8] - Adjusted EBITDA for the same period was $131 million, supported by operational efficiency initiatives and volume leverage [3][8] Operational Challenges - The company faced a negative impact of $3.7 million on EBITDA due to fewer business days in Q1 2025 compared to Q1 2024 [2] - 10% of the company's revenues are derived from Medicaid, which poses reimbursement risks due to potential federal or state-level cuts [2] - The gross margin was modestly impacted by a revenue mix shift towards the lower-margin specialty pharmacy segment [2] Market Position and Valuation - BrightSpring's shares have gained 114.8% over the past year, significantly outperforming the industry, which saw a decline of 16.2% [7] - The company currently trades at a 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio of 20.36, compared to the industry's 14.25 [9] Peer Comparison - Option Care Health (OPCH) and Amedisys (AMED) also reported strong financial performances in Q1 2025, with OPCH seeing revenue and margin growth driven by infusion therapy demand, and AMED experiencing consistent growth in hospice and home health services [5][6]