《中国农业产业发展报告2025》预测——我国农业生产将持续增效

Core Insights - The report from the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences predicts that China's agricultural production will continue to improve, with grain output expected to reach 1.426 trillion jin in 2025, marking a significant increase from 2024's projected 1.4 trillion jin [1] - The report emphasizes the importance of stabilizing the agricultural sector to support economic recovery and enhance food security, particularly in the context of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1] - The report highlights the need for strategic responses to the increasing import of agricultural products, particularly corn, beef, and soybeans, which could impact domestic production [2] Agricultural Production Outlook - In 2024, China's grain production is expected to increase, with a per mu yield rise of 5.1 kg [1] - The report anticipates continued growth in soybean and oilseed production, stable cotton and sugar production, and effective regulation of pig production leading to decreased pork imports [1] Import Strategies - The report suggests different strategies for managing imports of corn, soybeans, and beef, including quota management for corn and expanding agricultural trade cooperation with Belt and Road Initiative countries [2] - It emphasizes the need to reduce costs and enhance efficiency in beef production through differentiated competition strategies [2] Climate Change and Agricultural Resilience - The report notes that global climate change significantly impacts China's food supply chain, increasing post-harvest losses [2] - It calls for a focus on the entire grain production chain and participation in global climate governance to stabilize cross-border supply chains [2] Carbon Emission Reduction - The report indicates that China's agricultural sector has made significant progress in reducing greenhouse gas emissions, with lower emissions intensity compared to major economies [3] - It advocates for collaborative efforts in reducing carbon emissions from both production and consumption sides, promoting low-carbon agricultural technologies and encouraging dietary adjustments among consumers [3] Agricultural Technology and Food Security - The report stresses the importance of self-reliance in agricultural technology to enhance competitiveness and maintain food security [3] - It highlights the need to accelerate the formation of new productive forces in agriculture to support rural revitalization and the construction of an agricultural powerhouse [3]