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PTA:地缘溢价回落油价大跌 短期PTA或受拖累
Jin Tou Wang·2025-06-24 03:18

Market Overview - On June 23, PTA futures experienced a rebound after a decline, with a general atmosphere in the spot market and a slight increase in spot offers. The mainstream supply was focused on long-term sources, with June transactions mainly around 09+260 to 270, and individual prices slightly higher, within a negotiation range of 5220 to 5300 [1] - The processing fee for PTA spot reached approximately 398 yuan/ton, while the processing fee for TA2509 was 344 yuan/ton [2] Supply and Demand Dynamics - Supply: PTA operating rates dropped to 79.1%, a decrease of 3.9% [3] - Demand: Following routine maintenance on one unit and the restart of two units, the polyester comprehensive operating rate increased to around 92%, up by 1.1%. However, the demand from downstream sectors remains weak, with inventory accumulation in the terminal dyeing and weaving sectors [3] Price Trends and Outlook - Despite maintenance at Fuhai Chuang and Hengli facilities, the outlook for PTA supply and demand remains weak due to new installations coming online and continuous signals of production cuts from downstream polyester factories. The geopolitical situation in the Middle East has shown signs of easing, leading to a significant drop in oil prices, which is expected to negatively impact PTA in the short term [4]