以伊“十二日战争”戛然而止：各自完成“目标”，新博弈开启

Core Points - The conflict between Israel and Iran lasted for 12 days and has now reached a ceasefire agreement facilitated by the United States and Qatar [1][4] - U.S. President Trump announced the ceasefire agreement, warning all parties not to violate it [1][4] - Both Israel and Iran had signaled a desire to de-escalate the situation prior to the ceasefire announcement [1][4] Group 1: Conflict Overview - The conflict began with Israel's surprise attacks on Iranian military leaders and nuclear facilities, resulting in significant casualties among Iranian personnel [5] - Iran retaliated with missile strikes against Israel, leading to casualties on both sides, including at least 4 Israeli deaths from the missile attacks [3][5] - The conflict was characterized as a "war of attrition," with both sides unable to sustain prolonged hostilities due to the associated costs [1][6] Group 2: Diplomatic Efforts - Prior to the ceasefire, Iran launched missile attacks on a U.S. military base in Qatar but informed the U.S. in advance, indicating a level of restraint [3][4] - The U.S. and Qatar engaged in negotiations with both Israel and Iran to facilitate the ceasefire, with Trump communicating directly with leaders from both nations [4][6] - The ceasefire was officially announced by Trump, who indicated that it would take effect approximately six hours after his announcement [4][6] Group 3: Aftermath and Implications - Analysts suggest that both sides will claim victory in the conflict, with Iran maintaining its regional influence and avoiding significant political upheaval domestically [6] - The conflict has led to a new dynamic in Middle Eastern geopolitics, with ongoing negotiations and potential for future engagements [6]