Core Insights - Berkshire Hathaway, led by Warren Buffett, has a strong investment track record, particularly in American Express, which constitutes 21.6% of its $281 billion portfolio [2][4]. Company Overview - American Express (Amex) is Berkshire's second-largest holding, known for its strong brand and premium credit card offerings targeting affluent customers [4][5]. - The company has maintained its position in the market for nearly two decades, indicating brand durability and relevance [6]. Competitive Advantages - Amex benefits from a significant network effect, enhancing its value as it expands its merchant and cardholder base [7]. - Buffett's long-term holding of Amex shares for over a decade reflects his confidence in the company's business model [8]. Financial Performance - Over the past five years, Amex has seen a 65% increase in revenue, driven by a 30% rise in active cards and a 39% growth in payment volume [9]. - The company has generated a total return of 213% in the last five years, outperforming the S&P 500's 108% total return [10]. Future Outlook - Analyst estimates project Amex's earnings per share to grow at a compound annual rate of 14.4% from 2024 to 2027, suggesting a positive outlook for market performance [11]. - However, the current price-to-earnings ratio of 20.8 raises concerns about valuation, as it is among the highest in the past three years [11]. Investment Strategy - For investors interested in Amex, dollar-cost averaging over time may be a prudent strategy, especially given the above-average valuation concerns [12].
Is This Top Warren Buffett Stock a No-Brainer Buy Right Now?