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HIMS Crashes On Novo GLP-1 Fallout: Buy The Dip Or Bail?
Benzinga·2025-06-24 17:30

Core Viewpoint - Hims & Hers Health Inc experienced a significant stock decline of 34% following the termination of its relationship with Novo Nordisk, raising questions about the future of the company amidst regulatory challenges and market dynamics [1]. Company Overview - Hims & Hers is a high-growth telehealth firm that provides a range of health products, including hair loss medications and mental health prescriptions [1]. - The company generated approximately $200–225 million in 2024 from its GLP-1 business, which constituted a substantial portion of its projected $1.48 billion revenue [4]. Regulatory Challenges - The FDA's recent declaration that supply shortages are resolved has rendered compounded GLP-1 alternatives illegal, leading to accusations from Novo Nordisk against Hims for ignoring regulatory compliance [2]. - Novo Nordisk's actions signal a broader regulatory scrutiny within the telehealth industry, indicating potential challenges for companies operating in this space [4]. Financial Metrics - Hims is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 69.4, which is over 2.5 times the sector median, and a PEG ratio of 3.9, suggesting that the current valuation may be difficult to justify without significant earnings growth [3]. - The stock has seen a year-to-date decline of 66% and is trading below its eight, 20, and 50-day moving averages, with an RSI of 38.69, indicating it is nearing oversold conditions [6]. Market Position and Future Outlook - Despite the challenges, over 80% of Hims' revenue is derived from non-weight-loss verticals, such as acne and anxiety treatments, which are expected to remain stable [5]. - The company is recognized as a leading direct-to-consumer health brand among millennials and Gen Z, which may provide a foundation for future growth [5]. - The MACD indicator is currently positive at 0.48, suggesting a potential bullish signal, while the stock remains above the 200-day moving average, indicating some long-term trend support [7].