Amylyx Eyes $2B Opportunity In Post-Surgery Sugar Crash Market

Core Viewpoint - Guggenheim Partners has initiated coverage on Amylyx Pharmaceuticals, highlighting the potential of post-bariatric hypoglycemia (PBH) as a significant market opportunity for the company [1][2]. Company Overview - Amylyx Pharmaceuticals is positioned as a first-to-market player in the PBH space, which is estimated to be a $2 billion+ market opportunity [2]. - The company's lead drug, avexitide, is advancing towards pivotal Phase 3 results in the LUCIDITY study, expected to read out in the first half of 2026 [3]. Market Potential - Guggenheim estimates that there are 50,000 to 100,000 individuals in the U.S. suffering from moderate to severe uncontrolled symptoms of PBH [4]. - The global market for GLP-1 antagonists to treat PBH could exceed $2 billion by 2035, with projections of $1.8 billion in the U.S. and $410 million internationally, assuming a 60% peak market share among patients with severe PBH [4]. Competitive Landscape - The main competitor in the PBH market is MBX Biosciences, which is developing a once-weekly GLP-1 antagonist called MBX 1416 [5]. - Analyst estimates suggest that a once-weekly competitor could launch by 2031, while Amylyx's life cycle management strategy may enhance its market position [5]. Stock Performance - As of the last check, Amylyx Pharmaceuticals' stock (AMLX) has increased by 24.5%, reaching $6.25 [5].