提前派发“定心丸” 半年末流动性整体无忧

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is implementing measures to maintain ample liquidity in the banking system, including a 300 billion MLF operation and a net injection of 1180 billion due to maturing MLFs [1][2]. Group 1: Monetary Policy Actions - The PBOC will conduct a 300 billion MLF operation on June 25, 2025, with a one-year term, resulting in a net injection of 1180 billion after 1820 billion MLF matures in June [1]. - In June, the PBOC has increased mid-term liquidity injections, conducting a total of 14,000 billion reverse repos on June 6 and June 16 [2]. - The total net injection of mid-term liquidity in June has exceeded 3000 billion, indicating a proactive approach to maintaining liquidity [2]. Group 2: Market Stability and Expectations - Maintaining ample liquidity helps prevent abnormal fluctuations in the funding environment and stabilizes market expectations, which is crucial given the large-scale issuance of government bonds and the maturity of interbank certificates of deposit [2]. - The PBOC's actions signal a continued commitment to using quantitative monetary policy tools to meet the financing needs of enterprises and households [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Experts anticipate that the PBOC will continue to exceed the renewal of maturing MLFs and utilize various monetary policy tools to keep liquidity abundant in the second half of the year [4]. - There is a possibility of the PBOC adopting measures such as reserve requirement ratio cuts to provide liquidity support, especially with the expected acceleration of government bond issuance in the third quarter [4]. - Discussions are ongoing regarding the potential resumption of government bond purchases by the PBOC, which is seen as a key tool for liquidity injection and reducing the cost of liabilities in the banking and financial system [4][5].