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中信证券:Q2主流存储与利基DRAM涨价 存储模组厂迎来盈利拐点
智通财经网·2025-06-25 00:54

Core Insights - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that mainstream storage and niche DRAM prices are rising, with expectations for revenue growth among major storage manufacturers in Q2 2025 and a profitability turning point for storage module manufacturers [1] - It is anticipated that storage prices will maintain an upward trend in Q3 2025, particularly for DDR4 and DDR5 memory [3] Price Review - DRAM prices have shown a moderate increase for DDR5, while DDR4 prices have surged due to accelerated production cuts by manufacturers, with DDR5 contract prices rising approximately 2% and DDR4 prices increasing by 30% on average in May [1][2] - The average price increase for DDR4 8/16Gb chips in May exceeded 30% due to urgent procurement by downstream customers [1] NAND Flash Market - The reduction in production by manufacturers has led to a mild increase in NAND Flash prices, with TLC wafer prices rising by 6% to 14% in March, and SSD prices following suit [2] - Demand for enterprise SSDs continues to rise, particularly from North American CSP manufacturers [2] Price Outlook - For Q3 2025, DDR5 and NAND prices are expected to rise moderately, while DDR4 prices are projected to increase by 8% to 13% [3] - TrendForce forecasts that DDR4 PC/server memory module prices will rise by 18% to 23% and 8% to 13% respectively in Q3 2025 [3] - NAND Flash wafer prices are expected to increase by 3% to 8% in Q2 and 5% to 10% in Q3 2025 [3] Module Pricing - DDR5 memory prices have remained stable, while DDR4 prices have surged by 20% to 64% in the industry and channel markets [2] - SSD prices have seen a slight decline of 3% to 0% in the same period, while mobile storage prices have increased moderately by 0% to 14% [2]