6月25日金市晚评：黄金守住强劲支撑位 特朗普政府计划今夏上调关税

Group 1 - The US dollar index has declined, trading around 98.00, while gold prices are currently at $3327.46 per ounce, with a slight increase of 0.11% [1] - Gold reached a high of $3336.95 per ounce and a low of $3320.41 per ounce during the trading session [1] - Current prices for various gold products include spot gold at $3327.46 per ounce, gold T+D at ¥771.70 per gram, paper gold at ¥766.75 per gram, and Shanghai gold futures at ¥773.94 per gram [2] Group 2 - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that the Trump administration's plan to raise tariffs this summer could significantly increase price levels, with initial effects expected in June and July economic data [3] - Powell emphasized that the Fed's policy decisions are based on economic data rather than political pressure, maintaining a cautious approach due to uncertainties from the tariff dispute [3] - The Fed is closely monitoring inflation dynamics, with potential implications for interest rate decisions, including the possibility of earlier rate cuts if inflation pressures are controlled [3] Group 3 - Technical analysis shows that gold prices are currently supported by the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at $3327 per ounce [4] - The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) is around 49, indicating that gold's ability to stay above the 50-day SMA remains uncertain [4] - If gold fails to close above the 50-day SMA, it may retest the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $3297 per ounce, with further declines potentially leading to support levels at $3250 and $3232 per ounce [4]