特朗普计划提前布局“影子美联储主席”人选

Core Viewpoint - President Trump is considering breaking tradition by announcing his nominee for the next Federal Reserve Chair nearly a year in advance due to dissatisfaction with the current interest rate policy [1] Candidate Summaries - Kevin Warsh: Former Federal Reserve Governor known for his hawkish stance on monetary policy, advocating for cautious measures to prevent inflation. He has experience as an investment banker at Morgan Stanley and served as an economic advisor under President George W. Bush [2] - Kevin Hassett: Director of the National Economic Council, focused on economic growth and tax reform. He has a Ph.D. in economics from Columbia University and has authored several books on tax policy [3] - Scott Bessent: Former U.S. Treasury Secretary and a leading candidate for the next Fed Chair. He has significant Wall Street experience and was the Chief Investment Officer at Soros Capital Management. Bessent advocates for an early appointment to influence monetary policy during Powell's remaining term [4] - David Malpass: Former President of the World Bank and a key figure in the Trump administration, known for promoting global economic growth. He has faced criticism for his economic understanding, particularly regarding interest rate policies during the 2008 financial crisis [5] - Christopher Waller: Current Federal Reserve Governor with a background in economic research. He has proposed frameworks for maintaining low unemployment while controlling inflation, gaining influence within the Fed [6] Implications of Early Nomination - If Trump announces his nominee in the summer or fall, it would significantly shorten the traditional transition period of 3 to 4 months, indicating a proactive political strategy. This move reflects dissatisfaction with current monetary policy and aims to signal future policy directions to the market [7] - The President's ability to nominate the Fed Chair requires Senate confirmation, raising concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve and increasing uncertainty regarding future monetary policy [7]