发起式基金：在“生死劫”与“新机遇”之间的市场博弈

Core Viewpoint - The market for initiated funds is experiencing a stark contrast, with increasing liquidation pressures on some funds while new initiated funds continue to be launched by public institutions [1][2] Group 1: Liquidation Pressure - A significant number of initiated funds are facing severe liquidation crises, with 35 out of 125 funds liquidated this year being initiated funds, and 6 of these having a scale of less than 10 million yuan at the time of liquidation [2] - Initiated funds must reach a minimum scale of 200 million yuan after three years to avoid automatic termination of their contracts, which has led to many funds facing existential threats [2][6] - Some initiated funds, despite having positive net values, are still forced to liquidate due to insufficient scale, highlighting the strict exit mechanisms in place [2][6] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The initiated funds are often focused on niche sectors such as Hong Kong Stock Connect and quantitative strategies, but face challenges in attracting attention and capital due to poor marketing and investor education [3][7] - The high operational costs associated with smaller fund sizes hinder the ability to attract new investments, leading to a reliance on institutional funds that can influence investment strategies [3][7] Group 3: New Opportunities - Despite the liquidation pressures, the issuance of initiated funds remains robust, with 146 new funds launched this year, totaling 32.481 billion yuan, which is an increase from the previous year's 5.34% to 6.45% of total public fund issuance [4] - The flexibility of initiated funds allows public institutions to launch products even in a sluggish market, providing opportunities for counter-cyclical investments [4][5] Group 4: Growth Challenges - The simultaneous occurrence of liquidation and issuance reflects the unique "growth dilemma" faced by initiated funds, where low entry barriers lead to smaller fund sizes, while strict exit mechanisms create significant scale pressures [6][7] - The competitive landscape and channel pressures further exacerbate the challenges for initiated funds, as they struggle to gain traction in a market saturated with nearly 13,000 funds [7]