Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen·2025-06-26 06:05Group 1 - The current demand for the liquor industry is at a historical low, with a five-year demand index at 28%, indicating limited downside risk [1] - The supportive policies are expected to provide a foundation for consumer recovery, with economic data from January to March showing positive signs, and more supportive policies anticipated to boost liquor demand [1] - Liquor demand is expected to gradually recover at a slow rate, with short-term rigid demand and potential improvement in banquet demand due to a low base in the same period [1] Group 2 - The liquor industry is projected to experience a "valuation-performance" double bottom by 2025, entering a mid-cycle buying point [1] - The dividend yield of the sector is high compared to the ten-year government bond yield, indicating attractive investment value [1] - Despite ongoing downward adjustments in profit forecasts, valuations are at historical lows, suggesting that stock prices may stabilize before earnings do [1] - Recommended stocks include Shanxi Fenjiu, Jinshiyuan, Gujing Gongjiu, Kweichow Moutai, Luzhou Laojiao, and Wuliangye, which are expected to show strong profitability stability [1] Group 3 - The Food and Beverage ETF tracks the China Securities Index for the food and beverage sector, focusing on high-barrier and resilient segments like liquor and dairy products [2] - The top ten constituent stocks include major liquor brands, providing investors with a convenient way to invest in core assets of the "food and beverage" sector [2] - The ETF offers a low investment threshold compared to individual stocks, making it accessible for small investors [2]