达沃斯热议经济驱动力，中国的关键词依然是消费与科技

Core Insights - Emerging markets are seen as key engines for global economic growth, with a focus on how they can maintain stability amid geopolitical tensions and changing trade relationships [1][3] - The shift from export-driven to consumption-driven economic models in China is a significant topic of discussion, emphasizing the need for domestic consumption and investment [3][4] Group 1: Economic Trends and Predictions - China's GDP growth is expected to exceed 5% in the second half of the year, driven by improving macroeconomic indicators, particularly in consumption [4] - The transition to a consumption-driven economy will require time and effort, with a growing emphasis on boosting consumer confidence [4][6] - Structural issues such as real estate, financial risks, and local fiscal pressures need to be addressed for sustainable economic recovery [5] Group 2: Consumption and Investment Focus - Domestic consumption is identified as a primary challenge for China's economy, with a significant gap of about 20 percentage points compared to the international average [6][7] - The focus should be on enhancing the consumption capacity of low-income groups and promoting service-oriented consumption, particularly in education, healthcare, and social security [7][8] - Recent data shows a notable increase in retail sales, with a 6.4% year-on-year growth in May, indicating positive effects from government stimulus measures [8]