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The Trade Desk Is Down 40%: Should You Buy TTD Stock At $70?
The Trade DeskThe Trade Desk(US:TTD) Forbesยท2025-06-26 14:25

Core Viewpoint - The Trade Desk (TTD) stock has experienced a significant decline of 40% in 2025, primarily due to internal restructuring and a slower-than-expected launch of its AI platform, Kokai, raising questions about its investment potential [2] Valuation Analysis - TTD stock is currently priced at approximately $70, which appears attractive based on a thorough evaluation of its historical performance and financial health [3] - The company's price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 13.4, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 3.1, indicating that TTD stock is relatively expensive compared to the overall market [4][7] - Despite its high valuation metrics, TTD is trading below its three-year historical average P/S ratio of 19x, suggesting potential for upside [10] Revenue Growth - TTD has shown a robust revenue growth rate of 25.8% over the last three years, compared to a mere 5.5% for the S&P 500 [7] - The company's revenues increased by 25.1% from $2.1 billion to $2.6 billion in the past 12 months, outpacing the S&P 500's growth [7] - Quarterly revenues rose by 25.4% to $616 million in the most recent quarter, compared to $491 million a year earlier [7] Profitability Metrics - TTD's profit margins are around the median level for companies within the Trefis coverage scope, with an operating income of $453 million and an operating margin of 17.6% [12] - The net income for TTD was $412 million, resulting in a net income margin of 16.0%, which is higher than the S&P 500's 11.6% [12] Financial Stability - TTD's balance sheet is robust, with a debt figure of $335 million against a market capitalization of $35 billion, leading to a low debt-to-equity ratio of 1.0% [12] - Cash and cash equivalents amount to $1.7 billion, constituting a solid cash-to-assets ratio of 30.5% [12] Resilience During Downturns - TTD stock has historically performed worse than the S&P 500 during downturns, indicating weak resilience in challenging economic conditions [9][13] - The stock has shown volatility, with a peak-to-trough decline of 64.3% from November 2021 to November 2022, compared to a 25.4% decline for the S&P 500 [13]