Core Insights - NIO Inc. experienced a significant increase in cash outflow from operating activities, rising to RMB 7.8 billion in 2024 from RMB 1.38 billion in 2023, with a further decline in cash position in Q1 2025 due to seasonal fluctuations in vehicle sales [1][8] - The company raised approximately HKD 4.03 billion in late March 2025, which is expected to support a recovery in sales volume starting in April [2][8] - NIO has provided sales volume guidance for Q2 2025 of 72,000 to 75,000 units, indicating a year-over-year growth of 25.5% to 30.7%, which is anticipated to improve operating cash flow [3][8] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, NIO's sales fell to 42,000 units, leading to a working capital outflow exceeding RMB 10 billion [1][8] - Competitor Li Auto reported a net cash used in operating activities of RMB 1.7 billion in Q1 2025, an improvement from RMB 3.3 billion outflow a year ago, but a reversal from RMB 8.7 billion cash inflow in Q4 2024 [4] - Tesla reported net cash provided by operating activities of $2.16 billion in Q1 2025, a significant increase from $242 million in Q1 2024, with positive free cash flow of $664 million [5] Market Position and Valuation - NIO shares have underperformed the Zacks Automotive-Domestic industry, losing 20.4% year to date compared to the industry's decline of 7.7% [6] - NIO is trading at a forward sales multiple of 0.43, slightly lower than the industry's 0.45, indicating it may be slightly undervalued [11]
Will NIO's Q2 Sales Volume Rebound Stabilize Its Cash Flow?