7月降息可能性黯淡 多位美联储官员倾向继续观望

Group 1 - Several Federal Reserve officials indicated the need for further observation over the next few months to determine if price increases caused by tariffs will not lead to sustained inflation [1] - Officials including Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman suggested that if inflation remains controlled, it could support a rate cut in July [1] - However, nearly 12 policymakers, including Chair Jerome Powell and New York Fed President John Williams, expressed skepticism about this view, indicating they are not ready to cut rates at the next meeting [1] Group 2 - Powell stated during congressional testimony that if not for the uncertainty in future price outlook due to tariffs, the Fed might have already begun to cut rates based solely on declining inflation [1] - Currently, there is no urgency to adjust interest rates according to Powell [1]