世贸组织：全球货物贸易强劲增长 后续走势或放缓

Core Insights - The World Trade Organization (WTO) reported strong growth in global merchandise trade in the early months of 2025, but this momentum may not be sustainable [1] - The latest Goods Trade Barometer from the WTO indicates that the global merchandise trade index rose from 102.8 in March to 103.5, driven by a surge in imports due to tariff hike expectations [1] - However, the new export orders index has declined to 97.9, falling below the baseline of 100 and entering a contraction zone, suggesting a slowdown in trade growth later this year [1] Trade Growth Indicators - The global merchandise trade index increased to 103.5, reflecting a positive outlook for trade in early 2025 [1] - The surge in imports during the first quarter was influenced by expectations of tariff increases [1] - The decline in the new export orders index to 97.9 indicates potential challenges ahead for trade growth [1]