Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the international oil market will continue to experience high volatility in 2025, with oil prices fluctuating between $60 and $80 per barrel due to geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic pressures [1][2] - From January to May 2025, oil prices showed a downward trend, decreasing from $80 per barrel to $60 per barrel, influenced by trade disputes and OPEC+ production increases [1] - In June 2025, oil prices experienced significant fluctuations, driven by escalating geopolitical situations in the Middle East, leading to a wider volatility range [1] Group 2 - It is anticipated that in the second half of 2025, oil prices will remain relatively low, with Brent crude expected to fluctuate between $60 and $70 per barrel [2] - Factors such as the de-escalation of international trade disputes and increased summer demand in the U.S. are expected to support oil prices in the third quarter, with Brent crude likely to hover around $65 per barrel [2] - In the fourth quarter, a lack of positive news is expected to lead to a return to a weak oil price trend, with Brent crude potentially falling back to $60 per barrel by year-end [2]
6月油价急涨急跌 中长期油市仍面临下行压力
Xin Hua Cai Jing·2025-06-27 03:38