以伊美三方均宣称“胜利” 核问题谈判走向成停火关键变量

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Israel, Iran, and the United States all claim victory after a recent military conflict, but the actual outcomes and implications remain complex [1][2]. - Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei emphasized three points in a televised speech: Iran's victory in the conflict, its unwavering stance against surrender, and the potential for future strikes against Israel and the U.S. if necessary [1]. - The conflict has shifted from military engagements to political negotiations, with a focus on whether Iran and the U.S. will resume nuclear talks [2]. Group 2 - The sustainability of the ceasefire depends on the progress of negotiations regarding Iran's nuclear program; failure to initiate talks could lead to a breakdown of the ceasefire [3]. - If negotiations do occur but fail to reach an agreement, particularly regarding Iran's uranium enrichment activities, the likelihood of Israel conducting further military strikes against Iran increases [3].