Core Viewpoint - Skyworks Solutions Inc. is experiencing a decline in stock value, down 16% in 2025, primarily due to its heavy reliance on Apple Inc. for revenue and a slowdown in smartphone upgrades [1][2]. Financial Performance - Analysts project a 22% decrease in earnings per share (EPS) over the next 12 months, with a forward P/E ratio of approximately 20x, indicating the stock may be overvalued with a PEG ratio of 1.8x [3]. - Despite the current downturn, there has been an 8% rally in the stock over the last three months, suggesting potential investor optimism [3]. Market Opportunities - The shift of AI capabilities to edge devices presents a significant growth opportunity for Skyworks, as its products are essential for connectivity in various devices, including smartphones and IoT products [4][6]. - A potential decrease in interest rates by the Federal Reserve could stimulate a refresh cycle for smartphones, benefiting Skyworks due to its contracts with major smartphone manufacturers [7]. Growth Projections - Analysts foresee EPS growth increasing from $9.75 to $11.25, a rise of about 15%, with some predicting a 22% growth over the next three to five years [8]. - If these projections materialize, the stock could rebound to around $110, resulting in a forward P/E of roughly 11x and a PEG ratio of about 0.5, indicating undervaluation relative to growth [9]. Dividend and Capital Return - Skyworks offers a dividend yield of 3.75%, with an annual dividend of $2.80 and a history of increasing dividends for 11 consecutive years [10][11]. - The company has returned over $3 billion in capital to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases over the last five years, reflecting strong free cash flow margins of around 25% [10][11].
Skyworks Stock Down 16% in 2025, Poised for AI Edge Surge