PCE数据公布前，美联储7月维持利率不变的概率为79.3%

Core Viewpoint - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in July is 79.3%, while the likelihood of a 25 basis point cut is 20.7% [1] Interest Rate Predictions - For the upcoming FOMC meetings, the probabilities for maintaining or adjusting interest rates are as follows: - 3.25%-3.50%: 0.0% probability for all three meetings [4] - 3.50%-3.75%: 0.0% for July, 12.3% for September [4] - 3.75%-4.00%: 0.0% for July, 18.5% for September, 54.8% for October [4] - 4.00%-4.25%: 20.7% for July, 73.3% for September, 30.1% for October [4] - 4.25%-4.50% (current rate): 79.3% for July, 8.2% for September, 2.7% for October [4]