Unisys vs. IBM: Which Tech Stock Has More Upside in 2H 2025?

Core Insights - Investors are focusing on IT services stocks that balance innovation and stability, with Unisys Corporation (UIS) and International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) as key players in this sector [1] Unisys Corporation (UIS) - Unisys is undergoing a strategic transformation aimed at expanding solution-based revenue streams, operational optimization, and enhancing brand relevance in AI and cybersecurity [2] - The Device Subscription Services (DSS) and Digital Workplace Solutions (DWS) are major growth drivers, with significant contracts signed for large-scale device management [2] - The backlog in the DWS segment is growing at a double-digit pace year over year, positioning Unisys for sequential growth in the latter half of 2025 [3] - Unisys is enhancing its security portfolio with Post-Quantum Cryptography solutions and AI-enabled frameworks, which are expected to drive revenue growth despite current discretionary spending softness [4] - The company aims for $100 million in pre-pension free cash flow in 2025 through operational improvements and cost control [5] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for UIS's EPS indicates a year-over-year increase of 28.9%, with earnings estimates for 2025 revised upward by 132% in the past 60 days [11] International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) - IBM is enhancing its AI portfolio by integrating governance and security into a unified platform, marking a significant step toward responsible AI deployment [6] - The software segment, which constitutes nearly 45% of IBM's business, achieved 9% growth in Q1 2025, driven by strong demand for Red Hat and AI-powered tools [8] - IBM's shift to subscription and platform-based services has resulted in an 80% recurring revenue base in software, contributing to high-margin gains [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for IBM's 2025 EPS implies a year-over-year growth of 6%, with earnings estimates revised upward by 0.4% in the past 60 days [12] - IBM shares have surged 32.8% year-to-date, reflecting strong market performance [13] Comparative Analysis - Unisys is positioned for upside due to its transformation-driven momentum and focus on innovation in AI and cybersecurity, while IBM offers stability and scale but may have more moderate upside potential [17][18] - UIS is trading at a forward P/E ratio of 5X, below its median of 10.59X, while IBM's forward sales multiple is at 25.85X, above its median of 21.47X [15] - Unisys's emphasis on recurring revenues and emerging technologies provides a compelling turnaround narrative, contrasting with IBM's established market position [18][20]