三菱日联：若7月降息预期上升，美元可能下跌

Core Viewpoint - Mitsubishi UFJ suggests that if market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in July increase, the US dollar may decline [1] Group 1: Market Expectations - Market currently estimates a 21% probability for a rate cut in July according to LSEG data [1] - The pricing of the Federal Reserve's easing policy is expected to shift more convincingly towards a July rate cut [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - A weaker-than-expected non-farm payroll report next Thursday could trigger this trend [1] - Lower inflation data anticipated on July 15 may also contribute to the shift in market expectations [1]