聚合顺: 聚合顺新材料股份有限公司相关债券2025年跟踪评级报告（合顺转债）

Core Viewpoint - The credit rating agency maintains a stable outlook for the company, highlighting its competitive position in the nylon 6 chip market and the potential for growth due to significant construction capacity [1][3]. Company Overview - The company, 聚合顺新材料股份有限公司, continues to hold a competitive market position in the nylon 6 chip sector, with a market share that remains among the industry leaders [1][3]. - As of March 2025, the company's total assets are valued at 62.17 billion, with total debt at 36.41 billion and equity at 19.62 billion [1]. Financial Performance - The company expects rapid growth in 2024, with projected revenue of 71.68 billion, up from 60.18 billion in 2023 [1]. - Net profit is anticipated to reach 3.66 billion in 2024, compared to 2.17 billion in 2023 [1]. - The EBITDA interest coverage ratio is expected to remain strong at 18.21 in 2024, indicating solid earnings relative to interest expenses [1]. Capacity and Production - The company has significant construction capacity, with a total of 516,000 tons under construction, which is expected to support future business expansion [1][3]. - The production bases are strategically located, with the Hangzhou base close to downstream industries and the other bases near raw material suppliers, enhancing operational efficiency [1][3]. Market Environment - The nylon chip industry is experiencing steady growth, with a projected apparent consumption of 5.32 million tons in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase [6][7]. - The industry is benefiting from increased demand in sectors such as electric vehicles and smart home applications, which are driving sales growth [6][7]. Risks and Challenges - The company faces challenges related to thin product margins, with overall gross margins not exceeding 10%, necessitating precise cost control [1][2]. - Fluctuations in raw material prices, particularly for caprolactam, which constitutes about 90% of production costs, pose a risk to profitability [1][2][15]. - The company may encounter short-term capacity digestion pressures as new capacities come online in 2025-2026 [2][10]. Product Sales and Pricing - The company employs a pricing model based on "cost + processing fee," which allows it to transfer some raw material price volatility risks to downstream customers [15]. - In 2024, the company achieved record sales volumes in fiber-grade and engineering plastic-grade chips, contributing to overall revenue growth [12][14]. Supply Chain and Procurement - The company maintains stable relationships with key suppliers, with the top five suppliers accounting for 65.40% of procurement, indicating a moderate level of supplier concentration [15]. - The average price of caprolactam has been on a downward trend, which may alleviate cost pressures and stimulate demand for nylon 6 chips [15].