Mabwell(SH:688062) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-06-28 08:30Core Viewpoint - The company has made significant licensing agreements that enhance cash flow and pave the way for future commercialization of its products, including the injection of Agonist α and IL-11 targeted therapy drugs [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Impact - The total upfront payments from the two transactions amount to over 560 million RMB (3.8 billion + 250 million), which alleviates the company's financial pressure, with an estimated cash balance of approximately 1.23 billion RMB in 2024 [2]. - The agreements include a maximum total transaction amount of 500 million RMB and a tiered royalty percentage based on net sales, which will further support the company's financial health [1]. Group 2: Technological Validation - The two business development targets (8MW0511 and 9MW3811) are self-developed by the company, validating its long-acting fusion protein technology and LALA modification technology's competitive edge [3][4]. - 8MW0511 is the first approved long-acting G-CSF in China, utilizing albumin fusion technology to avoid the toxicity risks associated with PEG modification, demonstrating low immunogenicity and high production efficiency [3]. - 9MW3811 employs LALA modification technology to reduce potential toxicity risks and has shown a long half-life in clinical data, indicating significant market potential in diseases like pulmonary fibrosis [4]. Group 3: Core Assets and Future Potential - The company possesses a proprietary technology platform in the ADC field, with multiple targets and new payloads, showing promising clinical data in combination therapies [5]. - In the TCE field, the company is optimizing target selection and spatial design to reduce cytokine release syndrome (CRS) risks, with preclinical models demonstrating significant tumor suppression effects [5]. - Collaborations with AI companies are being utilized to accelerate target screening and evaluation, enhancing the company's research capabilities [5]. Group 4: Revenue Forecast - The company projects revenues of 851 million, 1.514 billion, and 2.08 billion RMB for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 325.97%, 77.91%, and 37.38% respectively [6]. - The expected net profit for the same period is projected to be -591 million, -280 million, and 104 million RMB, with growth rates of 43.4%, 52.65%, and 137.14% respectively [6].