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刚需托底豪宅惊艳 上海楼市运行稳健
Zheng Quan Shi Bao·2025-06-29 18:03

Core Insights - The Shanghai real estate market is showing signs of steady performance in the first half of 2025, characterized by a strong recovery in new homes, stabilization under pressure in second-hand homes, and increasing regional differentiation [1][2]. New Homes - In the first five months of 2025, Shanghai's new home transactions reached 2.66 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 9% [1]. - The average price of new homes in Shanghai rose by 5.9% year-on-year in May 2025, driven by the continuous entry of quality projects into the market [1]. - High-demand luxury projects frequently sold out upon opening, with examples including the Shanghai Yihua Courtyard, which sold all 64 units on the opening day at an average total price of approximately 62 million yuan [1]. Second-Hand Homes - In May 2025, second-hand home transactions in Shanghai totaled 1.61 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 14%, marking the highest value for the same period since 2022 [2]. - The transaction volume for second-hand homes has consistently exceeded 15,000 units per month for eight consecutive months since October 2024, with a positive year-on-year growth for each month [2]. - The price index for second-hand homes showed a slight increase of 1.4% as of mid-June 2025, indicating a recovery in prices [2]. Market Dynamics - The demand for second-hand homes is primarily driven by young couples and first-time buyers, with properties priced around 3 million yuan remaining the backbone of the market [3]. - The market is currently experiencing a "price tug-of-war" between buyers and sellers, with buyers negotiating prices down by 5% to 10% [3]. - Analysts predict a seasonal decline in transaction volume in the second quarter of 2025, but overall market stability is expected to continue without new policy interventions [3].