美联储7月维持利率不变的概率为81.9%

Group 1 - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in July is 81.9% [1] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in July is 18.1% [1] - The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in September is 7.5%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut at 76% and a 50 basis point cut at 16.4% [1] Group 2 - Interest rate predictions for July 31, 2025, show a 0.0% probability for rates between 3.25%-3.50% and 3.50%-3.75% [3] - For September 18, 2025, the probability of rates between 3.75%-4.00% is 16.4% and for 4.00%-4.25% is 76.0% [3] - The current interest rate of 4.25%-4.50% has an 81.9% probability for July 2025, decreasing to 7.5% for September 2025 [3]