“十四五”减碳改写能源转型逻辑，下一个五年怎样全面转型？｜“十四五”规划收官

Group 1 - The next five years mark the beginning of a comprehensive market entry for renewable energy in China, with expectations for continued growth beyond coal-fired power generation capacity [1][11] - China's energy development is transitioning towards a safe, efficient, and clean green direction, with a strong emphasis on reducing carbon emissions [1][3] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" aims for a 13.5% reduction in energy consumption per unit of GDP and an 18% reduction in carbon dioxide emissions [3][4] Group 2 - Despite the acceleration in energy transition, challenges remain, particularly regarding energy security and the "impossible triangle" of energy security, economy, and cleanliness [2] - The transition from energy consumption control to carbon emission control is a significant policy shift, emphasizing the role of carbon emissions in the energy revolution [5][6] - The focus on carbon emissions will facilitate the development of non-fossil energy sources and alleviate constraints faced by enterprises using clean energy [6] Group 3 - By 2025, the proportion of non-fossil energy consumption is expected to reach around 20%, with non-fossil energy generation accounting for approximately 39% of total generation [7][8] - As of July 2024, the installed capacity of wind and solar energy reached 1.206 billion kilowatts, surpassing coal power capacity [8] - The rapid development of renewable energy poses challenges for the energy system, necessitating enhanced flexibility and security measures [8][10] Group 4 - The upcoming five years will see renewable energy fully entering the electricity market, with expectations for continued growth in installed capacity [11][12] - The transition to a carbon emission control system will require significant efforts to manage the increasing pressure on the electricity grid due to higher renewable energy integration [12][13] - Climate change and extreme weather events are becoming critical factors in electricity planning, necessitating a new adaptive planning approach for the energy system [13]