午评：创业板指半日涨近1% 军工板块再度走强

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a rebound on June 30, with the ChiNext Index leading the gains. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3431.18 points, up 0.20%, with a trading volume of 346.8 billion yuan. The Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.54% to 10434.48 points, with a trading volume of 567.5 billion yuan. The ChiNext Index increased by 0.93% to 2144.06 points, with a trading volume of 281 billion yuan [1] Sector Performance - The gaming sector saw significant strength, with stocks like Kaiying Network and Giant Network hitting the daily limit. The military industry continued its strong performance, with nearly 20 stocks, including Great Wall Military Industry, also hitting the daily limit. The semiconductor industry chain rose, with stocks like Haoshanghao and Chengbang shares reaching the daily limit. Conversely, bank stocks continued to adjust, with Qingdao Bank dropping over 2% [1][2] Institutional Insights - CITIC Securities noted that the recent popularity of YU7 and Europe's delay in banning oil vehicles signify a shift towards product capability over product form, accelerating the global electrification process. The upcoming third quarter may see a focus on the full industrial chain's monetization capabilities in the electrification sector and advancements in AI. The resumption of IPOs for tech companies in A-shares could redirect market attention towards the tech sector, potentially continuing the trends seen in innovative pharmaceuticals and new consumption [3] - According to招商证券, the market may experience an upward breakthrough in July, with aggressive sectors like technology and non-bank financials outperforming. Improved fiscal indices and resilient consumption are expected to enhance total demand growth in the second quarter, leading to potential performance improvements in the upcoming mid-year report period across technology, consumption, and midstream manufacturing sectors [3] Commodity Insights - According to GF Securities, coal prices have been stable and are expected to rise further. The inventory levels across various segments have been declining since June, and seasonal demand is anticipated to increase after July, with limited growth in supply. The domestic spot prices for coking coal have shown slight recovery, driven by production cuts in major producing areas and increased downstream replenishment [4] Economic Indicators - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for June in China was reported at 49.7%, marking a continuous increase for two months. This indicates an improvement in the manufacturing sector's economic conditions, with 11 out of 21 surveyed industries in the expansion zone, an increase of four from the previous month [5] ETF Market Dynamics - The scale of the CSI A500 ETF reached approximately 210 billion yuan, with the total number of products increasing to 35. The Huatai-PB CSI A500 ETF leads with a scale of 20.256 billion yuan, surpassing the Guotai CSI A500 ETF at 18.649 billion yuan. Other ETFs from firms like Harvest, Huaxia, and Southern also maintain scales above 10 billion yuan, indicating ongoing competition among leading firms in the A500 market [6]