Group 1 - The market is optimistic about trade agreements, which has increased expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates earlier than anticipated [1][3] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve before September has risen from approximately 70% to 92.4% [3] - The Federal Reserve's interest rate-setting committee will meet next month, but there will be no meeting in August [3] Group 2 - The US dollar index has slightly increased by 0.1% to 97.276, but remains close to a three-year low of 96.933 [3] - The euro has weakened slightly against the dollar, trading at 1.1716, just below the highest level since September 2021 [3] - The British pound is stable against the dollar at 1.3709, near its highest level since October 2021 [3] Group 3 - Analysts from the Commonwealth Bank of Australia suggest that the US dollar's performance this week will be influenced by US trade dynamics [4] - Positive news regarding trade agreements is expected to support the US dollar against major currencies like the euro, yen, and pound [4] - Conversely, the US dollar may decline against other currencies such as the Australian dollar [4]
外媒：美元汇率受降息预期影响走势分化
Huan Qiu Wang·2025-06-30 05:45