三季度市场怎么看？机构关注这两大方向

Group 1: Market Overview and Investment Direction - The market is focusing on investment directions for the third quarter, with expectations of a liquidity-driven market if the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates in July and the People's Bank of China follows suit [1] - The sectors of artificial intelligence and military industry are highlighted as key areas for structural opportunities in the third quarter [1] Group 2: Military Industry Insights - The military industry has shown strong performance, with the China Securities Military Index rising over 22% since its low on April 8 [1] - The leading military ETF (512680) has seen a net inflow of 1.458 billion yuan over the past seven weeks, reaching a total scale of over 5.4 billion yuan, making it the only ETF in its category with continuous inflows [1] - Analysts predict a dual recovery in fundamentals and valuations for the military industry, driven by geopolitical factors and a clear trend of order recovery [1] Group 3: Artificial Intelligence Sector Analysis - The AI ETF (588760) closely tracks the Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board AI Index, with the top three sub-industries being semiconductors (50.7%), IT services (14.1%), and software development (9.1%) [2] - The AI index has shown a significant one-year increase of 65.7%, with a maximum drawdown of -25.4% and a Sharpe ratio of 1.78, outperforming other AI indices [2][3] - The investment in the AI ETF has been substantial, with continuous buying over the first four months of the year, totaling 12.36 million shares in February alone [2]