新股前瞻|跨境供应链龙头赴港上市，Hope Sea能否赢得市场青睐？

Core Viewpoint - Hope Sea Inc. is pursuing an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, positioning itself as a leading provider of cross-border supply chain solutions for electronic products, particularly in the semiconductor sector, amid a recovering industry environment [1][2]. Company Overview - Hope Sea Inc. specializes in comprehensive supply chain solutions for electronic products, focusing on importing from international suppliers to China, with a projected GMV of approximately RMB 34.8 billion in 2024 [2][3]. - The company serves over 40 vertical industries, including IoT communication, semiconductors, and renewable energy [2]. Financial Performance - The company's total revenue for the fiscal years 2022, 2023, and 2024 was RMB 252.8 million, RMB 220.5 million, and RMB 234.9 million, respectively, with annual profits of RMB 86.9 million, RMB 83.6 million, and RMB 85.5 million [2][3]. - Revenue from supply chain solutions decreased from RMB 135.7 million in 2022 to RMB 116.5 million in 2023, before recovering to RMB 123.0 million in 2024 [4]. Business Strategy - Hope Sea employs a "four flows integration" strategy, which includes the integration of goods flow, capital flow, information flow, and business flow to enhance operational efficiency [3]. - The company has adopted a pricing strategy to increase customer GMV, resulting in a rise from approximately RMB 20.2 million in 2023 to RMB 25.6 million in 2024, despite a decrease in average fee rates [4][5]. Market Environment - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a recovery, with China's integrated circuit exports reaching USD 159.55 billion in 2024, a 17.4% increase year-on-year [6][8]. - The company’s performance is closely tied to the semiconductor import and export dynamics, with integrated circuits accounting for about 70.1%, 65.2%, and 68.5% of its GMV from 2022 to 2024 [8][10]. Customer Base - The average business relationship with the top 20 clients exceeds nine years, with eight clients contributing over RMB 1 billion in GMV in 2024 [8]. - The customer composition has shifted, with IoT communication clients increasing their GMV share from 30% to 37.3% from 2022 to 2024, while the semiconductor sector's share has declined [11]. Challenges and Outlook - The company faces rising costs, particularly in transportation, which increased from 9.9% of total revenue in 2023 to 13.0% in 2024 [4]. - The ongoing price competition strategy may raise concerns about the sustainability of revenue growth and the company's bargaining power within the supply chain [5][12]. - Despite challenges, the semiconductor industry's high demand is expected to provide a favorable environment for Hope Sea's growth, especially as it prepares for its IPO [12].