Core Insights - The earnings season has shown unexpected resilience among many S&P 500 companies, leading to new all-time highs for major indices despite challenges like tariff wars and declining sentiment [1] - Lululemon Athletica Inc. has raised concerns by cutting EPS estimates and guidance for the second half of 2025, indicating potential struggles in a competitive market [2][3] Company Performance - Lululemon matched EPS projections but only achieved a slight revenue beat, with comparable sales growth at just 1%. The company lowered its next quarter EPS guidance from $3.31 to a range of $2.85 to $2.90 and revenue expectations from $2.6 billion to $2.5 billion [3][4] - Analysts reacted swiftly, with 15 out of 31 stock analysts lowering their price targets for Lululemon, with significant cuts from JPMorgan Chase, KeyCorp, and Morgan Stanley [5] - Jim Cramer expressed concerns over Lululemon's stock, noting a 25% decline over the past month and suggesting that the bottom may not have been reached [6] Competitive Landscape - Despite Lululemon's struggles, some competitors are thriving. Amer Sports reported a 28% year-over-year growth in its technical apparel segment and a 25% growth in its Outdoor Performance segment, with EPS tripling year-over-year [9][10] - Urban Outfitters is better positioned to manage margins, anticipating only a 20-basis-point drop in gross margins due to tariffs, compared to Lululemon's projected hit of at least 110 basis points [13][14] - Urban Outfitters achieved record sales of $1.3 billion in Q1 and received multiple upgrades from analysts, indicating a more favorable outlook compared to Lululemon [15] Market Sentiment - On Holdings has also shown strong performance, beating revenue projections by 18% and raising full-year guidance, despite a recent stock decline [19] - Analysts are currently favoring other stocks over Lululemon, with the latter not being included in the list of top recommendations by leading analysts [20]
Lululemon Slips as Rivals Rally: 3 Stocks to Watch