Signal: Aerospace Stock Ready to Take Off

Core Insights - FTAI Aviation Ltd's stock is currently down 2.7% to $115.34, marking its lowest close since May 23, and has seen a decline of 19.9% in 2025, but historical trends suggest a potential for recovery [1] Group 1: Stock Performance and Trends - FTAI is trading within one standard deviation of its 50-day moving average, indicating it has been above this average 80% of the time over the last two months [2] - Historical data shows that similar signals have led to an 82% chance of the stock being higher one month later, with an average gain of 10.1%, which could help recover its nine-month deficit of 13.3% [3] Group 2: Short Interest and Market Dynamics - A short squeeze may contribute to upward movement in shares, as short interest has decreased by 15.4%, yet 6.27 million shares sold short still represent 6.2% of FTAI's total float [5] - At the current trading pace, it would take shorts nearly four trading days to cover their positions [5] Group 3: Options and Volatility - Options are considered attractive due to FTAI's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 56%, which is in the 20th percentile of its annual range, indicating lower-than-usual volatility expectations [6] - Historically, FTAI has exceeded volatility estimates, reflected in its Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) score of 90 out of 100, suggesting larger-than-expected price swings [6]